The September 14, 2010 primaries included several tight races for the republican party, seemingly pitting the RNC against the Palin-infused Tea Partiers. We took a our index of news data across politics leading up to and after the election on four key races in Delaware, New York and New Hampshire to see which candides had the most news buzz.
In each race, the winning candidate went into the polls with more news buzz than the other and makes us wonder to what degree media attention leading up to a race helps push one candidate past another, or perhaps predict the winner?
The contest for Delaware’s republican Senate seat garnered the most media attention leading up to and after the race, with the controversial Christine O’Donnell pulling out the win. In New Hampshire, Kelly Ayotte seemed to have slightly more mentions in headlines than Ovide Lamontagne going into September 14th, eventually winning this close race. Interestingly, both O’Donnell and Ayotte saw more media attention in the day after their September 14th wins.
In New York, both the gubernatorial and senatorial republican primaries garnered a good deal of national media attention. For governor, Carl Paladino with his “mad as hell” slogan seemed to ramp up media buzz going into the race, defeating Rick Lazio for the candidacy and surprising many. As for the republican senate candidacy, which seemed to attract less media attention, Joe DioGuardi defeated David Malpass in a tight race.
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What interests you about the primary news data above? Does anything surprise you?
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